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3/9/2012
No One Fails (Really)
by Robert B. Albertson, Principal - The Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) is a furthrer vindication of U.S. banking sector balance sheet integrity. It removes a layer of regulatory uncertainty and should enhance sector confidence, valuations and impetus to consolidation.
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2/8/2012
GAO Downplays Key Issues in Hybrid Capital Report
by Thomas W. Killian, Principal - Examining the conclusions and unresolved issues of the GAO's report on the use and benefits of hybrid capital instruments, the risks to banking institutions and the economy of excluding hybrid capital from Tier 1 capital, and alternative means for small banks to access capital.
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2/5/2012
Deja Vu All Over Again - 2011 M&A Activity in the Asset Management Industry
Amid market volatility, M&A activity was relatively flat in 2011, with deal values up 7% from 2010 and deal volume down 5%. Organic growth was scarce among the publicly traded asset managers, causing multiples to compress in announced deals. Many prospective sellers spent the majority of the year focusing on client retention amid the market volatility.
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12/19/2011
The Great Credit Redistribution
by Robert B. Albertson, Principal - Our conviction on financial stocks continues to improve. Financial stocks have become proxies for global uncertainties rather than sector fundamentals. But remaining losses are mostly embedded in reserves and investor expectations, and bank loan growth appears promising.
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3/23/2011
America's Economic Aneurysms?
by Robert B. Albertson, Principal - We have been very suspicious of the domestic U.S. economic recovery, doubting the sustainability of consumer spending and expecting a significant correction higher in Treasury bond rates. Why short-term indicators have pointed in the opposite direction for both.
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11/4/2010
Double Bubble
by Robert B. Albertson, Principal - U.S. monetary policy is not only confronting a daunting liquidity trap, it is also driving U.S. indebtedness into a global box canyon, almost certainly marrying a declining U.S. dollar to higher long-term interest rates.
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9/23/2010
Basel III and Its Implications: A Closer Look
Assessing the impact on the U.S. banking industry of the Basel Committee’s global capital standards announced on September 12th as originally introduced in December 2009 and later amended – highlights four near term and four long term implications.
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6/8/2010
Safe Haven China
by Robert. B Albertson, Principal - China has simply built a better balance sheet than most industrialized economies and its equities are looking far more appealing than US or European alternatives.
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5/5/2010
Government's Supporting Role
by Robert B. Albertson, Principal - The amount of government support in personal income
has surpassed all records, raising serious concerns about the sustainability of consumer spending.
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4/16/2010
Letter to Basel Committee on Banking Supervision
The policies outlined in the Basel Committee’s Consultative Documents would significantly deleverage the banking system, dramatically reduce industry profitability, exacerbate balance sheet and earnings volatility and undermine capital formation.
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